Mls · resolved market
Minnesota United FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6aac11febe5db9ad0c0b5fbb3ac1324f66ea379cbb90a0aa75ea0ac08e2fd490
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 42c | 4,000$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.96 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 57c | 1,928$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.04 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 59c | 1,119$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.95 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 59c | 1,110$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.82 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 52c | 690$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.46 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 55c | 690$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.73 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 41c | 539.35$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.08 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 41c | 523.72$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.73 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 57c | 499.92$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.97 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 45c | 339.23$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.58 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b9…c40bbacked Over | 71c | 290.04$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.17 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 62c | 249.5$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.38 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 43c | 240.55$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.79 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 58c | 214.3$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 50c | 202.06$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.03 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 45c | 201$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.03 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b081backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc374…cee1backed Over | 53c | 187.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 181.36$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…32c1backed Over | 47c | 149.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 51c | 143.5$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.32 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65ee…3240backed Over | 71c | 140.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 49c | 126.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.43 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 20c | 125.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 57c | 108$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 44c | 103.6$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 48c | 101.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 50c | 98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 57c | 90.89$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Over | 62c | 85.11$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Over | 80c | 82.28$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked Over | 52c | 66.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 72c | 55.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 71c | 52.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 54c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…99e6backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d90…bcd6backed Under | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 58c | 38.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 60c | 33.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 41c | 29.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 54c | 25.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Over | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 24.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Under | 44c | 23.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 60c | 20.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6288…fd46backed Over | 58c | 20.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8095…d7abbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota United FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Minnesota United FC vs. Atlanta United FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Atlanta United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Atlanta United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Atlanta United FC: Minnesota United FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Atlanta United FC: Minnesota United FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta United FC (-1.5)Minnesota United FC won
- Spread: Minnesota United FC (-1.5)Atlanta United FC won
- Spread: Minnesota United FC (-2.5)Atlanta United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.