Mls · resolved market
Minnesota United FC vs. Atlanta United FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb05b8f8294b471f3f5378232e3fa2847d793451d86e51978b272adf726bc288
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 40c | 3,154$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.2 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Yes | 60c | 1,633$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.33 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 47c | 668.97$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.4 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 59c | 599$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.59 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47b5…fe36backed Yes | 52c | 470$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 59c | 404.93$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.93 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 60c | 317.45$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.98 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Yes | 75c | 133.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 59c | 118$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 27c | 101.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 58c | 80.37$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 57c | 70.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 58c | 62.91$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 42c | 51.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 44c | 45.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 40c | 39.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Yes | 59c | 25.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 73c | 22.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 53c | 19.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota United FC vs. Atlanta United FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Minnesota United FC vs. Atlanta United FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Atlanta United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Atlanta United FC: Minnesota United FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Atlanta United FC: Minnesota United FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta United FC (-1.5)Minnesota United FC won
- Spread: Minnesota United FC (-1.5)Atlanta United FC won
- Spread: Minnesota United FC (-2.5)Atlanta United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.