TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1947…32c1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
26
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Weather, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$16.28
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.14
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+131%+$71.95
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$54.53
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.45
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$48.9
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+75.3%+$83.54
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.73
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$25.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-55.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakinabacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.3
Cincinnati Open: Caty McNally vs McCartney Kesslerbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.69
Cincinnati Open: Zachary Svajda vs Mattia Belluccibacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.24
Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Harry Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$34.62
Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Caroline Dolehidebacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+105.8%+$48.47
Cincinnati Open: Cameron Norrie vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.38
National Bank Open: Caty McNally vs Alexandra Ealabacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.37
ITF Londrina: Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Carlos Maria Zaratebacked Carlos Maria Zarate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.11
All 8 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$21.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-2.5)backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.