Mls · resolved market
Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bc7cc22740e076ae1c06c0f574d0958da46f692212a10431cb6d566e6c68d3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 40c | 910$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 39c | 910$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.51 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 60c | 588.36$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.34 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 32c | 431.02$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.06 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b9…c40bbacked Over | 46c | 423.91$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 43c | 421$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.15 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 57c | 352.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.19 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 35c | 216.88$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.66 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 34c | 214.21$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.13 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 19c | 160.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…32c1backed Over | 46c | 153.78$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 34c | 137.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Over | 35c | 101$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 58c | 99.03$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 42c | 94.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 41c | 83.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c6…f5c0backed Under | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 21c | 73.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over | 33c | 72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -7.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7acf…08a0backed Over | 40c | 45.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 58c | 44.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 39c | 41.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 33c | 39.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 66c | 38.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Under | 58c | 38.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 35c | 34.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa58…140dbacked Over | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…6fbdbacked Over | 41c | 24.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 23.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 66c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-2.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.