Mls · resolved market

Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43b05873ec28cc738168f9e65f32f31486bb4a7fa21aedc0924af3e2e985e058

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $26,099
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $28,744

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,099 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Mls
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe954…1ef1backed Under	45c	7,895$3,553 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,342.06	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over	55c	2,909$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,599.95	133	47.4%63 W · 70 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	8c	2,274$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.5	1,880	36.6%688 W · 1,192 L	-7.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over	55c	2,000$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,099.99	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	52c	1,573$810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$810.14	1,262	45.2%571 W · 691 L	-28.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	19c	1,334$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.74	714	43.7%312 W · 402 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under	43c	1,157$498 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$659.77	129	51.2%66 W · 63 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	57c	1,145$647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$647.41	394	35.8%141 W · 253 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over	55c	1,124$618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$618.37	215	47.9%103 W · 112 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under	46c	1,046$481 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$565.22	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+2.1wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+121.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over	55c	1,021$562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$561.55	915	53%485 W · 430 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over	47c	700$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-4.8wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	54c	593.15$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.5	3,012	43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L	-29.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Over	68c	571.99$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.5	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	50c	419.11$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.92	993	40.1%398 W · 595 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	59c	320.64$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.62	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over	24c	310.25$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.46	146	52.1%76 W · 70 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under	54c	304.99$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.49	48	50%24 W · 24 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb67a…340bbacked Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	56cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dd9…5d16backed Over	57c	200$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.5	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under	54c	185.46$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.46	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+2.9wins	+0.14per pick	58cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over	57c	175$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.75	65	46.2%30 W · 35 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	57c	172$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.04	333	46.8%156 W · 177 L	-14.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over	55c	163.92$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.57	69	44.9%31 W · 38 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Under	43c	160.86$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.35	97	42.3%41 W · 56 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e7…50d1backed Under	45c	145.09$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.09	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+2.8wins	+0.20per pick	37cpaid	+63.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe1b9…c40bbacked Over	73c	137.14$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.44	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-3.4wins	-0.18per pick	44cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over	57c	131.58$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	40c	130$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.32	871	54.6%476 W · 395 L	+34.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over	70c	128.48$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.94	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+2.6wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	33c	120.76$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.12	1,009	46.2%466 W · 543 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over	50c	112$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.52	128	39.8%51 W · 77 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2cd…3897backed Under	42c	109.38$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.28	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.58per pick	42cpaid	+137.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	43c	99.72$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.84	971	46.1%448 W · 523 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	43c	95.48$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.42	681	50.8%346 W · 335 L	+12.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Over	56c	91.83$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.81	50	50%25 W · 25 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc81…e072backed Over	67c	80.99$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.26	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.3wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over	57c	78$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.46	355	50.4%179 W · 176 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under	30c	77.26$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.16	196	41.3%81 W · 115 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Under	28c	77.24$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.34	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over	50c	75$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.25	314	46.5%146 W · 168 L	-10.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under	28c	74.9$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.73	239	53.6%128 W · 111 L	+14.7wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	56c	67.73$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.16	734	38.1%280 W · 454 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	35c	66.24$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.43	287	21.6%62 W · 225 L	-29.9wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over	69c	66$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.57	382	46.1%176 W · 206 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	55c	64$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.2	270	47%127 W · 143 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over	55c	63.03$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.67	169	48.5%82 W · 87 L	-7.6wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d9c…601abacked Over	48c	60.31$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.95	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-4.3wins	-0.27per pick	39cpaid	-65.9%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	63c	56.5$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.46	967	56.8%549 W · 418 L	+73.1wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over	72c	55.2$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.74	294	60.5%178 W · 116 L	+36.5wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over	68c	52.9$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.1	311	58.5%182 W · 129 L	+27.0wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x86ba…2cf3backed Over	57c	52.63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under	63c	50$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.5	444	47.3%210 W · 234 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over	55c	48.63$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.9	264	50%132 W · 132 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x099c…e42cbacked Over	56c	42.86$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44dc…802dbacked Over	56c	42.86$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5be1…3371backed Over	48c	41.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-5.6wins	-0.33per pick	57cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	30c	41.41$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.15	802	49.8%399 W · 403 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Over	55c	39.48$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.71	128	48.4%62 W · 66 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	44c	37.88$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.21	1,301	51.2%666 W · 635 L	-19.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8613…2f76backed Under	44c	33.33$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.62	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a3a…e85dbacked Under	45c	33.33$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.33	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed Under	34c	33$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.78	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over	66c	33$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.78	205	54.6%112 W · 93 L	+17.1wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over	53c	32$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.96	102	49%50 W · 52 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2285…2aeabacked Over	67c	31.58$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.16	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	58cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7809…6600backed Over	51c	28$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.19	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.15per pick	41cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under	57c	21.2$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Over	67c	20.64$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.83	66	53%35 W · 31 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe707…e0cfbacked Over	57c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-18%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	67c	17.63$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.81	256	52.3%134 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5this page
Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 0.5Under won
Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 1.5Under won
Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 2.5Under won
Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 0.5Over won
Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 1.5Under won
Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-2.5)Los Angeles FC won
Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)Colorado Rapids SC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event