Mls · resolved market
Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1fcb10d93fd94278547aa5ee7604df550312ac24f5ef5dfc945339bf73a77cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,501
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,501 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa06a…d284backed Over | 66c | 7,897$5,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,210.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 46c | 5,227$2,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.91 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 34c | 2,775$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.7 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.64 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 22c | 1,268$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.2 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 53c | 1,010$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.07 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 34c | 801$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.66 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 78c | 753.42$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.47 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 79c | 751.9$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.57 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…c12abacked Under | 35c | 599.57$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 48c | 423.58$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.52 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 80c | 391.1$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.88 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 29c | 312.36$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.95 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd04…c5e1backed Under | 79c | 263.34$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 35c | 207.92$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.12 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed Over | 65c | 198.86$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 17c | 195.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb109…d40fbacked Over | 76c | 130.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.89 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 12c | 117.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 32c | 112.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 19c | 88.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450d…b3c4backed Under | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 34c | 78.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee0…4078backed Under | 80c | 75.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 79cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63fc…4a6cbacked Over | 59c | 69.66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…2fc0backed Over | 56c | 64.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 20c | 51.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 24c | 47.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 35c | 46.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 42c | 36.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e8…2f67backed Over | 69c | 36.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 42c | 31.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x004c…ab0cbacked Over | 80c | 20.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8955…3a83backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 63c | 16.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-2.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.