Mls · resolved market
Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca5630c4de93d3c6fc36d94bde2810b0854da5f2e97e4cf2b2b0539f45c001a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles FCof Colorado Rapids SC, Los Angeles FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Colorado Rapids SC | 19c | 2,867$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.02 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles FC | 78c | 309.16$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Colorado Rapids SC | 26c | 249.2$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.91 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Colorado Rapids SC | 28c | 162.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles FC | 73c | 151.86$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Los Angeles FC | 62c | 149.23$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Colorado Rapids SC | 20c | 115.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Los Angeles FC | 70c | 107$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Los Angeles FC | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b9…c40bbacked Los Angeles FC | 73c | 102.26$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles FC | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Colorado Rapids SC | 16c | 87.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Colorado Rapids SC | 22c | 84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles FC | 58c | 72.46$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…b2cebacked Colorado Rapids SC | 38c | 52.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Los Angeles FC | 57c | 39.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Los Angeles FC | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Los Angeles FC | 68c | 21.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…32c1backed Los Angeles FC | 79c | 18.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-1.5)this page
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-2.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.