TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,939
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,841

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,939 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed No49c6,569$3,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,341.741,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes50c3,521$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,765.3753040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No60c1,907$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.891,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes48c1,709$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.251,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed No39c1,385$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.8917740.7%72 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes41c786.4$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.7436247.2%171 W · 191 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes36c723.69$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.7948344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes61c712.11$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.0539435.8%141 W · 253 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes57c706.74$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.5131446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes43c529.95$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.8952639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No52c404.27$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.0271443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5a1d…2dd6backed Yes53c379.25$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes55c297.7$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.9836646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes60c291.6$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.7673438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes58c285.11$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.063,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed No45c279.87$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.3212848.4%62 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked No50c232.7$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.654953.1%26 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed No45c200.75$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.412250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes60c186.72$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.0368150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes44c174.35$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.711,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes51c160.17$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3935247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Yes56c160$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.087045.7%32 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9eb1…5d36backed Yes50c148.12$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.06450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed Yes57c146$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.223946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No65c142.66$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6280249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa498…245ebacked Yes61c139.55$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.642254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes52c125$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2544447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No47c123.78$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0746156.2%259 W · 202 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes57c117.02$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.723953.6%128 W · 111 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No40c95.23$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1420043%86 W · 114 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No55c85.8$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9419641.3%81 W · 115 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes52c82.04$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.263250%16 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes60c79.35$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.614440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No43c75.73$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.985450%27 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7655…f0b2backed Yes61c75$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.751464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63fc…4a6cbacked Yes53c66.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes61c61.21$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3414062.1%87 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes61c45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4535550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a3a…e85dbacked No40c36.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.95837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5be1…3371backed Yes55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201723.5%4 W · 13 L-5.6wins-0.33per pick57cpaid-62.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Yes60c34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.46163.9%39 W · 22 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes42c28.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9828721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes56c25.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9492346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes60c23.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.251,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1045…06c8backed Yes56c17.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.075362.3%33 W · 20 L+6.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+31.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Yes60c17.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.615549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.