Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x193747068c4eb5908447892531ea8ca602c5ad6491c5a0f905a1bf5d32292a6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17f3…cbf3backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a81…6cf9backed Yes | 38c | 2,912$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.93 | 95 | 18.9%18 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 1c | 1,744$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 69c | 1,135$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.67 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 41c | 802.31$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.23 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 63c | 646.92$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.29 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…82f5backed Yes | 33c | 577.64$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.03 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd115…4906backed Yes | 71c | 500$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.18 | 135 | 88.1%119 W · 16 L | +26.4wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…29dfbacked Yes | 29c | 470.74$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.82 | 508 | 60.4%307 W · 201 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 64c | 455$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.89 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 44c | 442.61$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.9 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 66c | 420.78$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.5 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed No | 62c | 330.78$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.32 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +23.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…0d6bbacked No | 62c | 330.54$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.02 | 156 | 69.2%108 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x897e…7bbdbacked Yes | 30c | 300$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.57 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 66c | 287.49$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d3…6effbacked Yes | 33c | 271.63$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.64 | 317 | 48.6%154 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0c…ef83backed No | 69c | 261.67$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.41 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf23…3f54backed Yes | 36c | 259.51$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.42 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…39d5backed Yes | 34c | 251$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.34 | 231 | 29.4%68 W · 163 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbee8…15bebacked Yes | 40c | 248.55$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.88 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 62c | 229.77$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.7 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 29c | 222.91$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 67c | 210.66$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 51c | 209.59$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.37 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 61c | 202.06$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.44 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…b975backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…1bb0backed No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +10.6wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c90…17efbacked Yes | 30c | 197.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 37c | 197.31$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.73 | 886 | 28.9%256 W · 630 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 60c | 179.14$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.52 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 40c | 176.52$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.03 | 577 | 47%271 W · 306 L | +40.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 59c | 171.08$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.33 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 58c | 167.25$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.07 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 59c | 163.24$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.63 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 67c | 160.77$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.55 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 32c | 158$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 62c | 155.18$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.64 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 61c | 154$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.81 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5d…d8b5backed Yes | 33c | 153.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…32c1backed No | 64c | 153.47$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 60c | 146.24$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 28c | 135.84$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.86 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…dc93backed No | 53c | 126.52$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 53c | 123.11$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 46c | 120.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 59c | 120.15$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.12 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 62c | 115.17$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…e12fbacked No | 57c | 108$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.68 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 56c | 103.05$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 42c | 102$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4a79backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…42b9backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 807 | 35.4%286 W · 521 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e1…4995backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7331…bc39backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032f…8d74backed Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…e1e0backed Yes | 35c | 99.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 63c | 99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 178 | 59%105 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 69c | 98.53$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 29c | 98.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 475 | 38.1%181 W · 294 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 59c | 96.23$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 35c | 95.59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 58c | 95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…764fbacked Yes | 32c | 93.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 39c | 89.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 55c | 85.78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 62c | 85.02$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 67c | 84.17$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…372abacked Yes | 36c | 80.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25e…2dd7backed Yes | 50c | 80.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 61c | 77.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9edd…013cbacked No | 63c | 74.37$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 57c | 73.64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…8503backed No | 62c | 73.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8c…3e30backed Yes | 60c | 70.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -14.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 35c | 69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 61c | 67.37$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 39c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 35c | 61.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6261…2e11backed Yes | 41c | 60.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 33c | 59.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x804b…b090backed No | 62c | 58.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 183 | 65.6%120 W · 63 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 58c | 57.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 67c | 57.42$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 271 | 69%187 W · 84 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb87f…f7d4backed Yes | 33c | 53.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 54c | 52.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 61c | 52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ab…c8dfbacked Yes | 41c | 51.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 33c | 51.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…c773backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…c27cbacked Yes | 41c | 48.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 32.9%49 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 32c | 48.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd758…b0ecbacked Yes | 38c | 46.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcca1…7e1ebacked Yes | 36c | 45.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked No | 63c | 44.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 212 | 72.6%154 W · 58 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 20?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 20?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.