Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14e52696e6d7b1824a0dbdef2311770fa7177ea6f85ad15ec5bf6da1d2982136
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 1c | 3,190$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 62c | 653.81$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.62 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…c038backed Yes | 38c | 485.68$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.29 | 439 | 32.8%144 W · 295 L | +20.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 62c | 458.47$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.11 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7331…bc39backed Yes | 20c | 399.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed Yes | 53c | 374.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +23.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 33c | 305.84$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.01 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 24c | 268.01$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.81 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 64c | 267.52$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.05 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…cafebacked Yes | 39c | 264$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.96 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 28c | 256.86$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…decbbacked No | 78c | 255.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.97 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b6c5backed Yes | 39c | 255.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…1bb0backed No | 79c | 249.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +10.6wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 32c | 249.93$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.44 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb0…1c8cbacked Yes | 56c | 212.25$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.12 | 541 | 43.1%233 W · 308 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 50c | 211.6$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.51 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 14c | 205.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 37c | 202.26$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 61c | 197.4$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.05 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbee8…15bebacked Yes | 38c | 194.2$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.03 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c90…17efbacked No | 66c | 190.96$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked Yes | 60c | 188.98$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.01 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 63c | 188.87$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 57c | 183.05$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.35 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fb…32c8backed Yes | 29c | 179.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ff…0d46backed Yes | 70c | 179.35$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.56 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a81…6cf9backed No | 56c | 174.82$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.77 | 95 | 18.9%18 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3271…cd33backed Yes | 20c | 170.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 135 | 31.1%42 W · 93 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 55c | 165.75$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.43 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 69c | 154$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 64c | 153.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.75 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85db…1423backed Yes | 47c | 149.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.82 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 54c | 145.19$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…372abacked Yes | 37c | 142.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001c…e5edbacked Yes | 52c | 140.03$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.45 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 39c | 139.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 54c | 139.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.31 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 55c | 139.01$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 50c | 116.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.13 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 62c | 115.86$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.41 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 57c | 115.36$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 33c | 110.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb20f…5737backed Yes | 47c | 106.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 58c | 104.39$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…c773backed No | 74c | 103.94$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 26c | 102.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb3df…463dbacked Yes | 35c | 101.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 23c | 101$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4a79backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…42b9backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 807 | 35.4%286 W · 521 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 462 | 32.9%152 W · 310 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f5…8fd4backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012f…400dbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 348 | 31%108 W · 240 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032f…8d74backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6293…675fbacked Yes | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 44c | 98.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 475 | 38.1%181 W · 294 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 41c | 95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 348 | 46.6%162 W · 186 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a56…be30backed Yes | 26c | 91.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 464 | 52.2%242 W · 222 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 27c | 89.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…82f5backed No | 67c | 88.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 50c | 85.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1c…25f0backed Yes | 24c | 84.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3079…7b77backed Yes | 47c | 79.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked Yes | 34c | 79.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 308 | 34.4%106 W · 202 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 70c | 76.84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 62c | 76.19$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…1d91backed Yes | 25c | 75.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9edd…013cbacked Yes | 70c | 71.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…a081backed Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…a7a5backed Yes | 25c | 69.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 425 | 55.1%234 W · 191 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 38c | 68.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 24c | 67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d70…cc5ebacked No | 69c | 63.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 156 | 66%103 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…1517backed No | 79c | 63.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 58c | 59.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 58c | 59.35$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 57c | 59.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe188…c1d0backed Yes | 34c | 58.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…8bfebacked Yes | 54c | 57.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 45c | 56.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…40cdbacked Yes | 45c | 56.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 40c | 56.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…13d6backed Yes | 41c | 55.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…a84bbacked Yes | 36c | 53.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 207 | 39.1%81 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 64c | 52.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x038c…b4e0backed Yes | 56c | 49.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 62c | 49.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…4b1abacked Yes | 42c | 44.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 429 | 48%206 W · 223 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 29c | 43.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 79c | 42.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 46c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddba…e638backed No | 64c | 41.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 408 | 62.3%254 W · 154 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…e09dbacked Yes | 40c | 41.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 253 | 42.3%107 W · 146 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7790…427abacked Yes | 48c | 39.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…18efbacked Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 61c | 37.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 20?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 20?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.