Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Midtjylland vs. Randers FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaba328e05d31e29882826eb1f0fc5341be7bf774d5b107306b904d3dabdf33eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 2,730$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.36 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 2,358$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.83 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 58c | 1,744$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.54 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 43c | 1,336$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.19 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 40c | 497.47$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.48 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Over | 61c | 328.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd04…c5e1backed Under | 77c | 254.27$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 61c | 233.84$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.64 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 28c | 196$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 42c | 178$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.84 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ee…3240backed Over | 63c | 174.6$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 38c | 149.15$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.29 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 58c | 118$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 37c | 105.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.17 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 39c | 100.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.3 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Over | 23c | 100.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…6f17backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 38c | 99.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 23c | 95.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Under | 42c | 89.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0962…6e40backed Over | 60c | 82.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 41c | 76.19$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.77 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 41c | 76.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 46c | 64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 45c | 63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 41c | 53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 63c | 52.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 42c | 50.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 42c | 40.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 38c | 39.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…9895backed Under | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 37c | 38.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 63c | 38.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 39c | 31.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 39c | 28.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Midtjylland vs. Randers FC: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Midtjylland vs. Randers FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Randers FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Randers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Randers FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Randers FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Randers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Randers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Randers FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)Randers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.