Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Midtjylland vs. Randers FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd70d91d951f3790be9243e5bc1c88dbca712e74b2ccfe28c0ad880e45e2dbd2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 33c | 2,004$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.21 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Under | 61c | 1,652$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.92 | 24 | 91.7%22 W · 2 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 71cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 38c | 985.78$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.38 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 681$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.7 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Over | 29c | 563.97$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.55 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 40c | 537.68$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.07 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 73c | 417.5$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.55 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 62c | 331.36$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.1 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 64c | 153.71$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Under | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 69c | 135$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 69c | 134.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.01 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 62c | 129.89$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.36 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 69c | 126.81$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.31 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 60c | 118.29$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 31c | 69.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 61c | 22.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 71c | 19.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 62c | 18.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Midtjylland vs. Randers FC: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Midtjylland vs. Randers FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Randers FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Randers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Randers FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Randers FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Randers FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Randers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Randers FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)Randers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.