Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-08-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1db07633a0cc6d23834985d3da3c6549f1073acaebf4f8a0ba1aa170561125f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 7c | 5,308$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.15 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes | 19c | 5,263$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.38 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 30c | 3,331$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.66 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 68c | 3,279$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.36 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 28c | 3,195$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.14 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 70c | 2,131$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.9 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 2,042$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.34 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 68c | 1,209$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.8 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 32c | 1,115$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.39 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 32c | 999.98$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 77 | 24.7%19 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 942.73$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.13 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 26c | 866.46$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.3 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…d0b2backed Yes | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 31c | 592$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.12 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 69c | 543.18$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.69 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 68c | 503$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.96 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 7c | 501.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 70c | 442.26$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.79 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…2352backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 366.54$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.19 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 28c | 283.24$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.31 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 8c | 255.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 11c | 229$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 68c | 211.76$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.76 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 8c | 201.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 68c | 186.6$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 69c | 160.1$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 12c | 153.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 69c | 114$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 32c | 99.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 71c | 95.69$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 80 | 70%56 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 31c | 92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed No | 68c | 88.04$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…aa65backed Yes | 32c | 87.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 32c | 79.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed No | 68c | 72.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked No | 68c | 72.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked No | 68c | 72.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 69c | 64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 31c | 64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…b156backed Yes | 18c | 58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…f087backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 69c | 48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 32c | 47.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 31c | 45.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 33c | 43.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 68c | 43.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 74c | 42.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Yes | 31c | 35.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 68c | 35.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed No | 70c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ee…3240backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 69c | 23.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…6e98backed No | 68c | 22.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed No | 68c | 17.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed No | 72c | 16.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked No | 69c | 16.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c4…85c2backed No | 69c | 16.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 69c | 15.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…6a4dbacked No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…0ff5backed No | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-08-13?this page
- Will Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Górnik Zabrze win on 2026-08-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.