Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9f04f252f8427666c8eadff782ae7b5489a137c1bd0bcc16982ca9644b9aa4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 20c | 4,604$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,703.61 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +15.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 73c | 1,869$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.17 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 27c | 1,803$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.19 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 39c | 1,353$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.56 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 73c | 703.73$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.68 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 41c | 633.56$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.6 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 49c | 541.65$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.57 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 413.64$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.95 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 44c | 395.2$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.91 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +149.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 57c | 350.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.87 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Yes | 15c | 322.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.75 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +46%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 67c | 308.92$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.73 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 27c | 296.3$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.3 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Yes | 11c | 264$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.94 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 20c | 197.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.96 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 27c | 172.32$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.37 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…4f7cbacked Yes | 10c | 162.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.61 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 73c | 150.41$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 18c | 137.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 73c | 136.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.74 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 73c | 134.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.55 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked No | 9c | 130$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked No | 73c | 126.72$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.51 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Yes | 14c | 116.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.15 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…d0b2backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 27c | 95.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 80$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 70%56 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 77c | 64.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 26c | 47.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 31c | 43.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 27c | 41.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 73c | 39.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 73c | 35.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked No | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 73c | 20.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 72c | 15.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked Yes | 80c | 12.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.54 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?this page
- Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-08-13?No won
- Will Górnik Zabrze win on 2026-08-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.