Asian League · resolved market
Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c5eea2b97386c779bfd9925971ff7d35e7d45cb33a932a738af3aaa95298b75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 26c | 1,296$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.34 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 13c | 937.75$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.79 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 50c | 901.9$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 69c | 882$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.34 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…1444backed Under | 40c | 717.5$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 20c | 555.9$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.18 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Over | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 60c | 444.34$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.79 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 39c | 408.27$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.23 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 61c | 405.03$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.96 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbd…2703backed Under | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 315.97$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.51 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…6e9bbacked Over | 69c | 295.99$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.36 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 30c | 293.1$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.66 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Over | 26c | 285.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.63 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 40c | 212.49$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.2 | 294 | 32%94 W · 200 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 49c | 199$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65ee…3240backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 62c | 153.94$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ba…2cf3backed Over | 62c | 145.16$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Over | 61c | 125.66$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 41c | 117$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.03 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 109.93$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd629…1e72backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 40c | 98.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +5.4wins | +0.45per pick | 47cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 47c | 65.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Over | 79c | 59.94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +17.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 61c | 59.92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 61c | 54.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 61c | 53.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 61c | 47.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 39c | 45.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 47c | 32.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e6…f87cbacked Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6862…6648backed Over | 61c | 26.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 48c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 181 | 61.9%112 W · 69 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 63c | 16.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 60c | 16.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: Al Fayha Saudi Club O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: Al Hilal Saudi Club O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.