TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Al Hilal Saudi Clubof Al Hilal Saudi Club, Al Fayha Saudi Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,131
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,191

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,131 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Al Hilal Saudi Club27c2,223$597 inWon+$1,625.412,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Al Fayha Saudi Club69c2,020$1,399 inLost-$1,398.52911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.39per pick50cpaid-86.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Al Hilal Saudi Club33c1,331$445 inWon+$885.321,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Al Fayha Saudi Club80c770.18$614 inLost-$6145,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Al Fayha Saudi Club68c742.12$503 inLost-$503.154163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Al Hilal Saudi Club20c734.7$147 inWon+$587.7682842.4%351 W · 477 L+19.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Al Fayha Saudi Club62c508$315 inLost-$314.9627037%100 W · 170 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Al Hilal Saudi Club38c508$193 inWon+$314.962,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Al Fayha Saudi Club65c192$125 inLost-$124.81,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Al Fayha Saudi Club65c192$125 inLost-$124.81,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Al Fayha Saudi Club70c103.13$72 inLost-$72.1974739.4%294 W · 453 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Al Fayha Saudi Club64c86.45$55 inLost-$55.331,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Al Fayha Saudi Club58c67.86$39 inLost-$39.3610949.5%54 W · 55 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Al Fayha Saudi Club80c63$50 inLost-$50.419354.4%105 W · 88 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Al Hilal Saudi Club67c55$37 inWon+$17.91361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club42c50$21 inWon+$298143.2%35 W · 46 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Al Fayha Saudi Club31c50$16 inLost-$15.55046%23 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Al Fayha Saudi Club72c30$22 inLost-$21.627148%130 W · 141 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Al Fayha Saudi Club57c30$17 inLost-$17.2523347.6%111 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Al Fayha Saudi Club67c30$20 inLost-$20.12470.8%17 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Al Fayha Saudi Club66c30$20 inLost-$19.817247.1%81 W · 91 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Al Fayha Saudi Club66c29.36$19 inLost-$19.3732654%176 W · 150 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0b…4771backed Al Hilal Saudi Club42c27.64$12 inWon+$16.03450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Al Hilal Saudi Club52c25.65$13 inWon+$12.489245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Al Fayha Saudi Club58c22.64$13 inLost-$13.132,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Al Fayha Saudi Club65c18.49$12 inLost-$11.9612242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Al Fayha Saudi Club78c15$12 inLost-$11.728251.4%145 W · 137 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Al Fayha Saudi Club67c15$10 inLost-$10.0529432%94 W · 200 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.