TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,245
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,556

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,245 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Under66c2,109$1,388 inWon+$720.182,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over29c1,220$354 inLost-$353.857149.3%35 W · 36 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over24c1,156$279 inLost-$278.795,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over31c1,129$352 inLost-$351.5382842.4%351 W · 477 L+19.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under79c828.78$652 inWon+$177.222,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dbd…2703backed Under63c420.99$265 inWon+$156.39475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over37c259.95$96 inLost-$96.181,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over37c222.32$83 inLost-$82.62,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef54…1444backed Under63c213.33$134 inWon+$78.934042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under74c210$155 inWon+$54.74042.5%17 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over37c208.44$77 inLost-$77.1229432%94 W · 200 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Under62c135$84 inWon+$51.079439.4%37 W · 57 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under78c128.21$100 inWon+$28.21683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under56c119.01$67 inWon+$52.3613140.5%53 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed Over38c100$38 inLost-$383638.9%14 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under64c95.22$61 inWon+$34.284647.8%22 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under64c90.96$58 inWon+$33.1474739.4%294 W · 453 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under78c89.46$70 inWon+$19.681,35645.5%617 W · 739 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Over39c78.12$31 inLost-$30.8612242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over22c77$17 inLost-$16.9419354.4%105 W · 88 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under77c73.85$57 inWon+$17.121,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73fb…c7afbacked Under64c62.5$40 inWon+$22.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over34c60.6$20 inLost-$20.3389245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Under63c32.17$20 inWon+$11.94348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Under58c23.3$14 inWon+$9.793040%12 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.