TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Al Hilal Saudi Clubof Al Hilal Saudi Club, Al Fayha Saudi Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,836
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,044

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,836 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x361b…74febacked Al Fayha Saudi Club45c4,876$2,205 inLost-$2,205.5911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.39per pick50cpaid-86.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Al Hilal Saudi Club55c3,000$1,650 inWon+$1,349.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Al Hilal Saudi Club66c1,421$939 inWon+$481.895,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Al Fayha Saudi Club24c992.72$238 inLost-$237.842,46740.3%993 W · 1,474 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Al Hilal Saudi Club56c797.61$444 inWon+$353.821,43435.2%505 W · 929 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club56c653.72$368 inWon+$285.5334447.4%163 W · 181 L+1.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Al Fayha Saudi Club46c616.64$284 inLost-$283.6519633.2%65 W · 131 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Al Hilal Saudi Club54c388.85$210 inWon+$178.876246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Al Fayha Saudi Club46c382.24$176 inLost-$175.83812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick49cpaid-74.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Al Fayha Saudi Club44c325.26$143 inLost-$142.71,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Al Fayha Saudi Club43c290$125 inLost-$124.793446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Al Fayha Saudi Club44c284$125 inLost-$124.961,10946.2%512 W · 597 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b2…bb8abacked Al Fayha Saudi Club45c189.97$85 inLost-$85.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa87d…ff4dbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club55c181.82$100 inWon+$81.82540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Al Hilal Saudi Club54c105$57 inWon+$48.39747.4%46 W · 51 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Al Hilal Saudi Club57c86.52$49 inWon+$37.2473538.6%284 W · 451 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked Al Hilal Saudi Club66c84.31$56 inWon+$28.756460.9%39 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69d2…a218backed Al Hilal Saudi Club55c45.45$25 inWon+$20.451040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a34…a28bbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club55c45.33$25 inWon+$20.42544%11 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x68f8…12c8backed Al Hilal Saudi Club56c44.64$25 inWon+$19.642882.1%23 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+26.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Al Fayha Saudi Club43c40.8$18 inLost-$17.5428532.3%92 W · 193 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Al Hilal Saudi Club54c40.64$22 inWon+$18.692,39737.8%905 W · 1,492 L-3.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Al Hilal Saudi Club55c39.33$22 inWon+$17.711643.1%50 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Al Hilal Saudi Club64c37.69$24 inWon+$13.5782542.4%350 W · 475 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club51c37$19 inWon+$18.1322548%108 W · 117 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed Al Hilal Saudi Club57c35.09$20 inWon+$15.098941.6%37 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Al Fayha Saudi Club41c25.37$10 inLost-$10.469252.3%362 W · 330 L+1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.