Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-08-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0a54b010859ead8699e2eaa8592be593239a0e35774ad4088c892bb93c5b316
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 47c | 12,685$5,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,722.99 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 54c | 9,261$5,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,012.15 | 1,117 | 35.8%400 W · 717 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 52c | 7,746$4,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,057.46 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 47c | 3,096$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.07 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 47c | 2,866$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.68 | 695 | 48.9%340 W · 355 L | +19.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 47c | 2,651$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.07 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 58c | 2,183$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.28 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 45c | 2,067$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.91 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 52c | 2,000$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 53c | 1,966$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.98 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 46c | 1,380$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.49 | 662 | 50.6%335 W · 327 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 46c | 1,132$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.38 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…285cbacked Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 49c | 938$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.38 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 48c | 896.81$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.34 | 658 | 35.6%234 W · 424 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca15…0d5ebacked Yes | 46c | 590.28$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 13c | 551.88$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 797 | 32.2%257 W · 540 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 23c | 500$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked No | 50c | 459.62$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.81 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed No | 50c | 459.62$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.81 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 53c | 436.08$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.12 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 37c | 430.51$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.43 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 48c | 409.29$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.84 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 13c | 388.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf025…48f8backed Yes | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 45c | 286.71$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.72 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 24c | 271.13$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.54 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed No | 55c | 256.71$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.52 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…7974backed No | 55c | 231.82$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.32 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 216.07$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.57 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 50c | 196.94$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.47 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 53c | 194.78$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.23 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 43c | 181.94$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.66 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 54c | 173$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.42 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 70c | 170$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 51 | 74.5%38 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 11c | 166$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 38c | 161.97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.93 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 33c | 160$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 56c | 157.03$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.71 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 9c | 130$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 42c | 116$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 28c | 112.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 29c | 110.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 53c | 105.66$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…6a4dbacked No | 46c | 105$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a3…3f10backed Yes | 53c | 100.62$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 48c | 86.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Yes | 20c | 78.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e98…5f4ebacked Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 51c | 74.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 18c | 73.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 28c | 67.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Yes | 30c | 66.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 47c | 59.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 52c | 59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 53c | 57.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed No | 50c | 52.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…b156backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed No | 55c | 48.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc97…7172backed Yes | 44c | 43.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 30c | 41.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…7d46backed No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 77c | 40.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…ce9bbacked Yes | 56c | 35.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc809…5f4ebacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Yes | 37c | 34.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Yes | 46c | 27.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 42c | 25.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 42c | 25.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 51c | 25.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 46c | 24.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 443 | 56.2%249 W · 194 L | +23.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 45c | 24.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 256 | 41%105 W · 151 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Yes | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ee…3240backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 53c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x677d…4907backed Yes | 55c | 19.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed No | 54c | 19.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-08-13?this page
- Will Ilves Tampere vs. HNK Rijeka end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Ilves Tampere win on 2026-08-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.