Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Ilves Tampere win on 2026-08-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeec111aa75f23e15a4d5dd488688dcd8dd91b7663ff59a8355ef52513454d092
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 18c | 17,396$3,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,137.07 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 20c | 2,028$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.14 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 20c | 1,517$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.13 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked Yes | 64c | 1,108$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.43 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 80c | 1,098$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.67 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 22c | 1,007$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.46 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Yes | 20c | 839.05$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.81 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 822.7$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.54 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 48c | 758.38$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.71 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 16c | 716.88$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.93 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 16c | 599.48$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.91 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Yes | 19c | 576.84$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.6 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 19c | 563.94$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.15 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 19c | 535.87$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.82 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 5c | 495.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 21c | 398.79$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.71 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 23c | 394.79$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.02 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 23c | 381.27$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.38 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 20c | 341$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes | 20c | 255$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +162.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed Yes | 20c | 238.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eea…8896backed Yes | 19c | 208.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 38c | 174.56$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.92 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 17c | 159$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 61c | 143.65$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.04 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 13c | 128.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…b156backed Yes | 14c | 113.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53c8…7f69backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c3…e829backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…4b33backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 16c | 97.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 21c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0789…f7adbacked Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 44c | 75.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 80c | 74.87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 23c | 74.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 20c | 71.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 80c | 63.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 19c | 57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 19c | 57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes | 31c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed No | 76c | 36.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 32c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 73c | 32.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…a2bebacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked No | 79c | 31.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 78c | 22.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe86a…7b4cbacked Yes | 63c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1790…30f7backed No | 80c | 18.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ilves Tampere win on 2026-08-13?this page
- Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-08-13?No won
- Will Ilves Tampere vs. HNK Rijeka end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.