Mls · resolved market
Austin FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76589b42d4bd8f3abac4488070a8bb23b86e67286d02d1e21577d5294a40f5f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 43c | 8,060$3,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,465.94 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 57c | 5,429$3,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,326.23 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 44c | 4,995$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.6 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 57c | 4,651$2,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.93 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Under | 53c | 4,541$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.83 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 58c | 4,126$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.23 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 56c | 3,729$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.65 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 2,904$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.06 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 44c | 2,200$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.99 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 39c | 1,735$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.11 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 43c | 1,492$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.4 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 1,484$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.77 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 53c | 1,266$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.2 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 57c | 1,176$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.93 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 4c | 1,101$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Under | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +5.6wins | +0.40per pick | 46cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Under | 44c | 809$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.96 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 48c | 729.17$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.17 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 56c | 693.36$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.38 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 40c | 672.44$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.01 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Under | 44c | 666$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Over | 48c | 600.39$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 62c | 599.16$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.87 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Over | 52c | 495$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 43c | 424.61$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.99 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 19c | 418.69$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.23 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 38c | 416.31$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.2 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 42c | 416$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.72 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 56c | 381.27$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.76 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 43c | 380.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.83 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 57c | 340.82$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.55 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 62c | 322.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.57 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 42c | 315.37$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.46 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 51c | 307.53$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.84 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x709d…f749backed Over | 69c | 304.72$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.46 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Over | 62c | 253.66$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.27 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 43c | 236.58$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.85 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 57c | 232.57$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.01 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 44c | 219.82$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.72 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 17c | 197.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 194.03$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.05 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…4bfbbacked Over | 69c | 192.46$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859f…0f26backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65ee…3240backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Over | 70c | 177$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 56c | 165.04$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.62 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 34c | 159.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…31c4backed Under | 39c | 145$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.08 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 31c | 130$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 60c | 128.53$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Over | 69c | 125$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 18c | 115.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…50d7backed Over | 49c | 111.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e8…6d91backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf698…a7e7backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…89c6backed Under | 40c | 97.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Over | 50c | 93.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 57c | 87.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b36bbacked Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 57c | 74.57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Under | 70c | 71.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 60c | 64.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 56c | 59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 57c | 51.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…fb15backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 57c | 48.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 56c | 48.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Under | 44c | 47.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 57c | 45.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 66c | 42.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…edbdbacked Over | 57c | 42.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 62c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 56c | 36.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 56c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 31.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7894…2685backed Over | 61c | 31.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 57c | 30.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Over | 56c | 30.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…cdfdbacked Under | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Over | 56c | 28.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Under | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 56c | 27.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Over | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 57c | 22.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd69…82f7backed Over | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 57c | 20.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 78c | 15.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d16…addabacked Over | 69c | 14.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Austin FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 2.5this page
- Austin FC vs. FC Dallas: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Austin FC vs. FC Dallas: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Austin FC vs. FC Dallas: Austin FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Austin FC vs. FC Dallas: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Austin FC vs. FC Dallas: FC Dallas O/U 0.5Over won
- Austin FC vs. FC Dallas: FC Dallas O/U 1.5Over won
- Austin FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 0.5Over won
- Austin FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 1.5Over won
- Austin FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 3.5Under won
- Austin FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 4.5Under won
- Austin FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Austin FC (-1.5)FC Dallas won
- Spread: FC Dallas (-1.5)Austin FC won
- Spread: FC Dallas (-2.5)Austin FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.