Mls · resolved market
Austin FC vs. FC Dallas: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cfec57c4ec9d8c211b6cf71d5a4a13888de480dcc51aa530b6f5819ab97d144
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.99 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 61c | 3,754$2,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.57 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 61c | 3,654$2,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.94 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 42c | 2,963$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.75 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…7b9bbacked Yes | 62c | 2,013$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.11 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 58c | 1,955$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.23 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 57c | 1,239$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.81 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 38c | 1,195$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.6 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 39c | 1,121$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.96 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 43c | 1,104$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.12 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked Yes | 55c | 1,032$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 38c | 982.55$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.37 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 59c | 439.55$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.45 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 62c | 436.98$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.05 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed No | 39c | 421$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.19 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 57c | 404.04$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.39 | 90 | 70%63 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 59c | 345.58$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.84 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 50c | 324.99$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.5 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 38c | 295.17$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.16 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 38c | 262$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.56 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 38c | 262$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.56 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes | 68c | 246$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 43c | 241.09$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.57 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 61c | 216.89$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.59 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Yes | 58c | 211.24$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.72 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 62c | 202.06$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.03 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 194.48$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…38a6backed Yes | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +263.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked No | 46c | 117.39$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes | 59c | 111.69$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 62c | 102.84$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 91.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 37c | 89.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 38c | 86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 48c | 75.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 38c | 45.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 62c | 36.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…3319backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 44c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 57c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3509…9e45backed Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc97…7172backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 59c | 24.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 59c | 23.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +13.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x737b…0adfbacked Yes | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Austin FC vs. FC Dallas: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Austin FC vs. FC Dallas: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Austin FC vs. FC Dallas: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Austin FC vs. FC Dallas: Austin FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Austin FC vs. FC Dallas: FC Dallas O/U 0.5Over won
- Austin FC vs. FC Dallas: FC Dallas O/U 1.5Over won
- Austin FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 0.5Over won
- Austin FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 1.5Over won
- Austin FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 2.5Over won
- Austin FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 3.5Under won
- Austin FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 4.5Under won
- Austin FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Austin FC (-1.5)FC Dallas won
- Spread: FC Dallas (-1.5)Austin FC won
- Spread: FC Dallas (-2.5)Austin FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.