TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Austin FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,077
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,563

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,077 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Under67c17,392$11,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,760.6898945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Over38c9,020$3,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,458.481258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over22c4,406$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.0999340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over36c3,776$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.2635550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a8f…e5f5backed Over36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.991154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under65c2,391$1,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.3672850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under64c2,119$1,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.3270249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.9617740.7%72 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x747a…766dbacked Under52c1,454$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over35c1,205$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.6733346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over34c1,082$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.7638246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over50c1,025$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.321,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b0…89d3backed Under65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3501464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Over43c999.99$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4305162.7%32 W · 19 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+20.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over19c820.89$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.3671443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over41c800$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3283735.1%13 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under66c796.29$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.4524046.7%112 W · 128 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under65c792.13$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.991,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed Under66c606.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.063775.7%28 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Over34c528.85$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.813435.3%12 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1756625.8%17 W · 49 L-8.1wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over27c449.99$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.513844.9%62 W · 76 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Under67c419.51$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.51757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5abe…84cebacked Under52c403.85$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.85742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Under66c356$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.820133.3%67 W · 134 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over45c319.13$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.126944.9%31 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under75c291$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6880249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over35c275.97$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5952923.8%126 W · 403 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Over34c255.19$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.761450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc39…398abacked Over25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6816960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3824…e756backed Under57c171.91$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.923444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under64c166$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.089944.4%44 W · 55 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Over15c158.15$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.17922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-63.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over48c145.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8319641.3%81 W · 115 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over31c144$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3239234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x8bc1…eebebacked Over20c140.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.763740.5%15 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Under53c139.5$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.567367.1%49 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over25c136.15$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7396756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b01…c511backed Over34c132.35$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under71c122.71$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2292346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under78c116.05$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.881,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under73c116$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3944350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Under56c110.27$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over38c110$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.628721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Over38c105$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.055446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under62c104.43$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6835247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under75c102.97$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8812848.4%62 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1516437.2%61 W · 103 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf423…31c4backed Under53c99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.213145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over22c94.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.318624.4%21 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked Over49c91.04$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.615450%27 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over50c83.66$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1446156.2%259 W · 202 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.922171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3172…7520backed Under66c75.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.713100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+66.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc59…35f7backed Over34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8405…9cc5backed Over34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x734e…edbdbacked Over35c69.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.31266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+26.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under68c65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.553161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf555…b36bbacked Over52c57.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.01540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under59c56.68$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.221,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d1…dc9fbacked Over23c56.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131020%2 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over34c56.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.193,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over19c54.48$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3436247.2%171 W · 191 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over21c54.32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.411030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-60.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8955…3a83backed Over49c47.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.281163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over34c46.47$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.81,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b04…403fbacked Over34c42.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.381752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over41c41.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1944447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under72c37.81$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7382044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b21…8732backed Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over35c37.14$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1316744.3%74 W · 93 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under72c32.01$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.962676.9%20 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Over35c29.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.295464.8%35 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9578…1597backed Under80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under66c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1632848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Under56c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.687045.7%32 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae3b…e06ebacked Under55c21.46$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.641361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb4c…612bbacked Under56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Over52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.42564%16 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc278…3144backed Under78c19.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.273100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.