Asian League · resolved market
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb068d44c8a93d6770e31b82e572c92148a6cd8d9d800c78585a02f70a18e1c38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 17c | 955.88$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.29 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 25c | 788.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 52c | 554.9$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 5c | 299.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 289.39$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.53 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 212.65$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.07 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Over | 56c | 170.05$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.82 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 42c | 137.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e1…c97fbacked Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…dfcbbacked Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 15c | 83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 56c | 35.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ee…3240backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Under | 48c | 34.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 52c | 32.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 43c | 32.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e6…74a9backed Over | 58c | 31.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 56c | 23.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Henan FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Henan FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Henan FC: Henan FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Henan FC: Henan FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Henan FC: Liaoning Tieren FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
- Spread: Henan FC (-2.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)Henan FC won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5)Henan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.