TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,312
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,142

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,312 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Over17c1,477$251 inWon+$1,226.992,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over17c1,470$250 inWon+$1,220.129432%94 W · 200 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under1c1,350$16 inLost-$15.7592835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d4…23e8backed Under57c984.04$561 inLost-$560.962236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over17c797$135 inWon+$661.515832.8%19 W · 39 L-7.6wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over22c760.33$166 inWon+$594.7889245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over20c660.07$129 inWon+$530.675,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Over41c499.99$205 inWon+$294.493452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over16c323.84$52 inWon+$272.121,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over46c306$140 inWon+$165.552,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under38c269.11$103 inLost-$103.311520%3 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-69.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over25c267.43$68 inWon+$199.3221854.1%118 W · 100 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9152…abfbbacked Under59c231.93$136 inLost-$135.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over29c218.93$64 inWon+$155.1470842.5%301 W · 407 L-26.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over7c189.05$13 inWon+$176.092,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f46…7a71backed Under78c148.43$115 inLost-$115.181241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick66cpaid-38.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under74c141.06$105 inLost-$104.711,35645.5%617 W · 739 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3090…be73backed Over37c74.33$28 inWon+$46.834663%29 W · 17 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over42c50$21 inWon+$28.858928.1%25 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0011…4333backed Over38c35$13 inWon+$21.562975.9%22 W · 7 L+4.8wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+36.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed Over46c30.6$14 inWon+$16.522638.5%10 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+110.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Over73c30.13$22 inWon+$8.273666.7%24 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under76c29.56$22 inLost-$22.491,06342%446 W · 617 L-12.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under63c29.33$18 inLost-$18.4823347.6%111 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Under59c22.07$13 inLost-$1325742%108 W · 149 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.