TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,864
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,874

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,864 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe301…8654backed Under2c714.28$14 inLost-$14.294528.9%13 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under3c412.37$12 inLost-$12.373818.4%7 W · 31 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid+106%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0011…4333backed Over61c363.49$224 inWon+$139.962975.9%22 W · 7 L+4.8wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+36.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under47c209.99$100 inLost-$99.741,06342%446 W · 617 L-12.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under47c187.88$88 inLost-$87.521,35645.5%617 W · 739 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under9c181.33$17 inLost-$17.1370842.5%301 W · 407 L-26.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over54c115.16$62 inWon+$53.2620769.6%144 W · 63 L+31.9wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+34.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x3cf3…ae14backed Under49c81.63$40 inLost-$40250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c69.75$36 inWon+$34.182,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed Over55c36.36$20 inWon+$16.368941.6%37 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over34c30$10 inWon+$19.853946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under66c30$20 inLost-$19.81,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbace…34d6backed Under66c20$13 inLost-$13.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over72c18.07$13 inWon+$5.082,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.