Asian League · resolved market
Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a4773eb05e3694eff0e796b5a2ad46997eebf71c02908c37090a67fd3240866
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 3,424$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.86 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 43c | 2,438$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.42 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 42c | 1,999$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.8 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 43c | 1,017$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.13 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 60c | 975.61$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.37 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…4357backed Over | 75c | 570.17$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 25c | 560.17$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.13 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 44c | 498.91$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 57c | 410$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.7 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3440…6748backed Over | 47c | 261.81$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 56c | 232.92$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.44 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Over | 53c | 217.51$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 68c | 213.46$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked Over | 40c | 199.36$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 57c | 171.91$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 50c | 143.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.23 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 43c | 115.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.58 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…601abacked Over | 45c | 110.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Under | 44c | 110$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 63c | 80.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 48c | 80.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 63c | 73.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -7.7wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 65c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 43c | 69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 57c | 64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 57c | 61.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 37c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 68c | 38.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Over | 57c | 38.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ee…3240backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 56c | 32.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 63c | 28.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8c…db16backed Over | 48c | 24.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 48c | 24.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: Al Kholood Saudi Club O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Kholood Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Kholood Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Kholood Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Ittihad Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.