TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,158
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,702

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,158 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under74c8,306$6,118 inWon+$2,188.4519340.9%79 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over18c6,991$1,257 inLost-$1,257.332,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over23c4,602$1,059 inLost-$1,059.2882842.4%351 W · 477 L+19.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under80c1,035$828 inWon+$207.012,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over2c869.93$19 inLost-$19.58836.4%32 W · 56 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3440…6748backed Over25c268$67 inLost-$671020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Over25c249$62 inLost-$62.252744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under76c237.55$181 inWon+$56.532,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under76c120$91 inWon+$28.820638.8%80 W · 126 L-14.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under79c104.42$83 inWon+$21.915,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over27c98$26 inLost-$264847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over34c64$22 inLost-$21.763545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Under80c50$40 inWon+$108265.9%54 W · 28 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over33c50$17 inLost-$16.51,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe707…e0cfbacked Under67c50$34 inWon+$16.52458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under79c29.73$24 inWon+$6.1725155.8%140 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under79c29.72$24 inWon+$6.1637153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under62c28.63$18 inWon+$10.883043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under73c15.07$11 inWon+$4.076454.7%35 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.