Asian League · resolved market
Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe107c9ef4564266e6d4d7529c8938c53e77822db5cda022731e57e61a36c904a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 1,989$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.34 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Over | 39c | 1,944$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.88 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Under | 41c | 1,593$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.28 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 1,165$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.04 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41de…deedbacked Over | 39c | 888.42$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.93 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Over | 39c | 748$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.28 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 55c | 736.73$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.13 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 61c | 617.38$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.6 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 597.31$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.62 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 46c | 551$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.18 | 177 | 42.4%75 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 61c | 532$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.52 | 1,126 | 46.3%521 W · 605 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 61c | 465.6$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.02 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 60c | 427$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 61c | 409$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.3 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 49c | 404.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Under | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 61c | 288.68$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.74 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Under | 61c | 272$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3440…6748backed Over | 35c | 214.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.29 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed Under | 61c | 213.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 64c | 153.25$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd806…5131backed Over | 42c | 133.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.33 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d41…6a2ebacked Over | 38c | 133.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Under | 61c | 129$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…5f0ebacked Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Over | 46c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 50c | 86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 216 | 43.5%94 W · 122 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…63e0backed Under | 61c | 86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 42c | 84.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dff…bb1ebacked Under | 61c | 82.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 55c | 80.04$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 41c | 66.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Under | 58c | 62.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Under | 59c | 58.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed Over | 38c | 57.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 61c | 54.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 706 | 52.3%369 W · 337 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 55c | 49.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 375 | 52%195 W · 180 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…fc7cbacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Under | 61c | 43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Over | 51c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 39c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Under | 63c | 33.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…fb15backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 50c | 31.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ee…3240backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Under | 61c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Under | 61c | 23.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 61c | 22.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 359 | 47.4%170 W · 189 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 50c | 22.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 51c | 21.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 320 | 60%192 W · 128 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 70c | 21.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Under | 64c | 20.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 55c | 20.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 593 | 42.5%252 W · 341 L | -28.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…93d1backed Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Under | 61c | 19.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 61c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Al Shabab Saudi Club O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Shabab Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.