Asian League · resolved market
Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69beb35a14dfd328634789689588a54ef67c6d57d6146af4066bed452216cbda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 73c | 3,312$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.1 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 35c | 2,866$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.95 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 63c | 1,757$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.92 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 33c | 842.9$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.43 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 48c | 625.72$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd806…5131backed Under | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 68c | 359.51$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 77c | 311.89$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.73 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Over | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 32c | 220.59$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.59 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9253…0baebacked Over | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 33c | 200.06$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.02 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 17c | 123.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 64c | 92.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…6562backed Over | 63c | 75.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 66c | 69.51$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 32c | 49.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Over | 57c | 42.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 34c | 38.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Over | 70c | 28.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 57c | 26.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 57c | 20.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 57c | 20.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…1cf3backed Over | 66c | 18.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 65c | 17.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Al Shabab Saudi Club O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Shabab Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.