Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Kashiwa Reysol (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x881d07297bcb827fb7d093186eb38e07c24a711a18e80c7d5ed4f631f2b08abc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kashiwa Reysolof Kashiwa Reysol, V-Varen Nagasaki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Kashiwa Reysol | 36c | 6,378$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,105.91 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed V-Varen Nagasaki | 59c | 5,892$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kashiwa Reysol | 52c | 5,711$2,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,751.8 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed V-Varen Nagasaki | 60c | 4,077$2,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,445.81 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed V-Varen Nagasaki | 60c | 2,638$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.4 | 182 | 53.3%97 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Kashiwa Reysol | 40c | 1,768$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.54 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Kashiwa Reysol | 42c | 1,193$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.86 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed V-Varen Nagasaki | 46c | 996.74$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.63 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Kashiwa Reysol | 40c | 934$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.4 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Kashiwa Reysol | 39c | 849$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.27 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed V-Varen Nagasaki | 61c | 600$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Kashiwa Reysol | 41c | 271.62$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.25 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Kashiwa Reysol | 42c | 239.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.71 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Kashiwa Reysol | 57c | 200$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 116 | 31%36 W · 80 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed V-Varen Nagasaki | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Kashiwa Reysol | 51c | 196.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.42 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed V-Varen Nagasaki | 60c | 192.14$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.89 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed V-Varen Nagasaki | 41c | 186$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.26 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Kashiwa Reysol | 40c | 169.55$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.73 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…d8abbacked V-Varen Nagasaki | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked V-Varen Nagasaki | 49c | 151.57$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.27 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Kashiwa Reysol | 40c | 145.57$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.78 | 735 | 38.6%284 W · 451 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed V-Varen Nagasaki | 47c | 132.97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Kashiwa Reysol | 40c | 130.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.58 | 43 | 76.7%33 W · 10 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed V-Varen Nagasaki | 63c | 129.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked V-Varen Nagasaki | 50c | 99.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked V-Varen Nagasaki | 63c | 95.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Kashiwa Reysol | 40c | 82.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Kashiwa Reysol | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 197 | 65.5%129 W · 68 L | +27.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed V-Varen Nagasaki | 60c | 66.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed V-Varen Nagasaki | 48c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Kashiwa Reysol | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed V-Varen Nagasaki | 35c | 58.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Kashiwa Reysol | 40c | 58.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked V-Varen Nagasaki | 43c | 55.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Kashiwa Reysol | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Kashiwa Reysol | 40c | 50.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Kashiwa Reysol | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Kashiwa Reysol | 41c | 39.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Kashiwa Reysol | 40c | 31.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed V-Varen Nagasaki | 42c | 29.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed V-Varen Nagasaki | 52c | 29.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 313 | 59.7%187 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed V-Varen Nagasaki | 46c | 26.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked V-Varen Nagasaki | 45c | 25.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Kashiwa Reysol | 42c | 25.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked V-Varen Nagasaki | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kashiwa Reysol (-1.5)this page
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: Kashiwa Reysol O/U 0.5Over won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: Kashiwa Reysol O/U 1.5Over won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 0.5Over won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5Over won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 3.5Over won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 4.5Over won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: V-Varen Nagasaki O/U 1.5Over won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: V-Varen Nagasaki O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Kashiwa Reysol (-2.5)V-Varen Nagasaki won
- Spread: V-Varen Nagasaki (-1.5)Kashiwa Reysol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.