Other European Leagues · resolved market
AFC Ajax vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb36634f4a42213249669bd10980f6d963a090b6cc1fa28927f2d9b3208cadef3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 68c | 3,402$2,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.96 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 65c | 2,331$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.99 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 25c | 1,992$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.3 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 1,799$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.48 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 35c | 1,300$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 27c | 973$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.69 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 60c | 700$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Under | 73c | 551.09$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.72 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 39c | 457.54$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.15 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 35c | 381.83$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.59 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…96c6backed Under | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…317abacked Over | 50c | 222$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Over | 61c | 177.48$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 7c | 145$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee41…2e5cbacked Under | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 57c | 110$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 38c | 67.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 65c | 59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 37c | 47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 71c | 38.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 71c | 38.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 71c | 33.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…9be0backed Under | 61c | 32.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 71c | 32.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3538…1035backed Under | 65c | 30.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed6c…4eb1backed Under | 62c | 27.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 73c | 17.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 65c | 16.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 76c | 14.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Ajax vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 4.5this page
- AFC Ajax vs. SC Heerenveen: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- AFC Ajax vs. SC Heerenveen: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- AFC Ajax vs. SC Heerenveen: AFC Ajax O/U 0.5Over won
- AFC Ajax vs. SC Heerenveen: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AFC Ajax vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 0.5Over won
- AFC Ajax vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 1.5Over won
- AFC Ajax vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 2.5Over won
- AFC Ajax vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 3.5Over won
- AFC Ajax vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 5.5Under won
- AFC Ajax vs. SC Heerenveen: SC Heerenveen 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- AFC Ajax vs. SC Heerenveen: SC Heerenveen O/U 0.5Over won
- AFC Ajax vs. SC Heerenveen: SC Heerenveen O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5)SC Heerenveen won
- Spread: AFC Ajax (-2.5)SC Heerenveen won
- Spread: SC Heerenveen (-1.5)AFC Ajax won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.