Other European Leagues · resolved market
NEC vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc43ddb44b679016009f4f7ad0ea8b142bcb0340caf6f70adcfc40de273796b8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked Over | 42c | 6,400$2,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,687.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 65c | 4,347$2,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.22 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 55c | 2,370$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.91 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 2,224$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.2 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 1,903$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.94 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Over | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.94 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…545bbacked Under | 73c | 1,490$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.93 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 49c | 967.27$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.19 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 79c | 442.59$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.45 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 7c | 337$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Under | 55c | 315.08$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.79 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 51c | 293$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.57 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 76c | 175$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 51c | 170$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Under | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 60c | 159.87$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 10c | 154.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 54c | 149.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 69c | 143.95$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 74c | 139.36$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 47c | 108.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Under | 51c | 103$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 74c | 93.02$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 72c | 68.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 63.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…564cbacked Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…5cb3backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 29c | 48.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 44c | 45.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 73c | 41.84$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under | 63c | 40.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10a0…c0f6backed Under | 77c | 35.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 38c | 32.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…6f17backed Over | 43c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Under | 70c | 29.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 51c | 25.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 55c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 51c | 20.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…9be0backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 65c | 18.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Under | 70c | 17.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Under | 69c | 14.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NEC vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 3.5this page
- NEC vs. Telstar 1963: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- NEC vs. Telstar 1963: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- NEC vs. Telstar 1963: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- NEC vs. Telstar 1963: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- NEC vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 0.5Over won
- NEC vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 2.5Over won
- NEC vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 4.5Under won
- NEC vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: NEC (-1.5)Telstar 1963 won
- Spread: NEC (-2.5)Telstar 1963 won
- Spread: Telstar 1963 (-1.5)NEC won
- Spread: Telstar 1963 (-2.5)NEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.