TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Spread: Telstar 1963 (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
NECof Telstar 1963, NEC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,842
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,103

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,842 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Telstar 196338c3,263$1,254 inLost-$1,254.247,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed NEC64c3,256$2,096 inWon+$1,159.772,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked NEC45c500$225 inWon+$2757529.3%22 W · 53 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Telstar 196342c188.52$79 inLost-$79.1846044.3%204 W · 256 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Telstar 196337c154.8$57 inLost-$57.0730550.8%155 W · 150 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked NEC56c140$78 inWon+$6251356.3%289 W · 224 L+23.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Telstar 196337c95.74$35 inLost-$35.333959%200 W · 139 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Telstar 196335c93$33 inLost-$32.7129754.5%162 W · 135 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x460c…b5b5backed Telstar 196339c88.54$34 inLost-$34.117564%48 W · 27 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed NEC66c75.76$50 inWon+$25.7622062.3%137 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Telstar 196340c72.3$29 inLost-$28.6327554.9%151 W · 124 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed NEC42c45.24$19 inWon+$26.2421036.7%77 W · 133 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked NEC63c44.44$28 inWon+$16.449555.8%53 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed NEC65c38.46$25 inWon+$13.462751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Telstar 196336c32.22$12 inLost-$11.635163.5%223 W · 128 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked NEC72c32.01$23 inWon+$9.19064.4%58 W · 32 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x013f…ca85backed Telstar 196340c29.08$12 inLost-$11.543161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Telstar 196336c28.01$10 inLost-$10.083458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed NEC57c20$11 inWon+$8.643721.7%95 W · 342 L-49.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-50.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.