TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Spread: NEC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Telstar 1963of NEC, Telstar 1963
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,800
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,758

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,800 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x73bc…46cebacked Telstar 196356c5,871$3,288 inWon+$2,583.331050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed NEC25c5,419$1,355 inLost-$1,354.682,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x851b…961ebacked NEC44c2,275$1,001 inLost-$1,0017638.2%29 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed06…72e7backed NEC41c526.99$216 inLost-$216.071136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Telstar 196357c363.92$208 inWon+$156.3273440.1%294 W · 440 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3c…08edbacked NEC43c349.98$150 inLost-$150.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Telstar 196359c309.16$182 inWon+$126.7686960.4%525 W · 344 L+91.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Telstar 196359c237.83$140 inWon+$97.9113860.1%83 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x256c…259bbacked Telstar 196357c126.32$72 inWon+$54.324100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed NEC44c120$53 inLost-$52.813448.5%65 W · 69 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ba1…fcefbacked NEC44c68.18$30 inLost-$3030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Telstar 196357c50.6$29 inWon+$21.7618756.1%105 W · 82 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ecf…75d2backed Telstar 196357c35.09$20 inWon+$15.09757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed NEC43c30.39$13 inLost-$12.972,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed NEC44c28.2$12 inLost-$12.4130550.8%155 W · 150 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed NEC44c27.27$12 inLost-$129248.9%45 W · 47 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.