TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

NEC vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,988
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,950

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,988 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under52c5,746$2,999 inWon+$2,746.7846044.3%204 W · 256 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over50c5,722$2,861 inLost-$2,861.125,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over36c2,320$843 inLost-$842.642,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Under45c1,213$550 inWon+$662.86752.2%35 W · 32 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+40.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda03…fa78backed Under52c995.54$518 inWon+$477.86666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under52c466$240 inWon+$225.792,01235.5%714 W · 1,298 L-27.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over53c385$204 inLost-$204.053354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over19c368$70 inLost-$69.929637.5%36 W · 60 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under40c273.21$109 inWon+$164.216445.3%29 W · 35 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under71c268.27$190 inWon+$77.873440.1%294 W · 440 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a20…20a6backed Under68c214.17$146 inWon+$68.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29d2…7babbacked Under41c200$81 inWon+$118.86144.3%27 W · 34 L+7.0wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+74.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under57c133.08$76 inWon+$57.062,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c118.3$62 inLost-$62.047,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over44c115.91$51 inLost-$5114332.2%46 W · 97 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over32c100$32 inLost-$31.587745.2%396 W · 481 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over29c67.93$20 inLost-$19.72,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under51c59.12$30 inWon+$28.9721854.1%118 W · 100 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a60…7b81backed Under51c55.67$28 inWon+$27.282259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over29c50$15 inLost-$14.539852.5%209 W · 189 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under71c49.03$35 inWon+$14.2228049.6%139 W · 141 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under51c48.65$25 inWon+$23.843464.7%22 W · 12 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+24.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ba0…0111backed Over43c30.93$13 inLost-$13.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over53c19.53$10 inLost-$10.3140850.7%207 W · 201 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Over71c17.87$13 inLost-$12.7727554.9%151 W · 124 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.