Other European Leagues · resolved market
ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe76a802169679591610caf9876d02cbee24e8291107492f6eea51142d2e51cd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 63c | 10,587$6,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,960.24 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 2,282$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.38 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 1,951$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.46 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 38c | 1,576$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.33 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 38c | 1,538$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.03 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 62c | 991.53$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.78 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 37c | 741.88$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.6 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 37c | 675$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 37c | 630.63$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.33 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 37c | 489$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.07 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee41…2e5cbacked No | 43c | 465.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0280…6e1ebacked Yes | 61c | 451.77$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 37c | 428.18$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.43 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 38c | 231.84$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.1 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 63c | 171.43$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.43 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 38c | 149.5$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.81 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 37c | 119.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 62c | 114.5$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 38c | 109.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3756…b936backed No | 38c | 96.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 83.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 37c | 65.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…9be0backed No | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 37c | 48.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 39c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf22…8c56backed No | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed No | 38c | 28.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed Yes | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 66c | 23.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: FC Groningen 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: FC Groningen O/U 1.5Over won
- ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: O/U 0.5Over won
- ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: O/U 1.5Over won
- ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: O/U 2.5Over won
- ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: O/U 3.5Over won
- ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: O/U 4.5Over won
- ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: ADO Den Haag (-1.5)FC Groningen won
- Spread: FC Groningen (-1.5)FC Groningen won
- Spread: FC Groningen (-2.5)FC Groningen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.