Other European Leagues · resolved market
ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf129f19afff3d3795c1269516a55d98abdeb6a6f2cdc08bd365ab23d3cdfaa25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 29c | 27,595$7,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,950.63 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 69c | 13,403$9,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,182.44 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked Under | 44c | 11,605$5,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,088.3 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 67c | 5,938$3,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.39 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 61c | 3,814$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.3 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 76c | 3,373$2,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.46 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 56c | 3,248$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.21 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 70c | 2,543$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.46 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…9fc9backed Over | 56c | 1,339$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 58c | 1,180$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.48 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 45c | 633.93$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 31c | 480$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 42c | 464.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.3 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 56c | 446$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.24 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 58c | 359.86$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.14 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Over | 73c | 342.45$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.46 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 56c | 333$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 56c | 275.28$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.12 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 56c | 272.62$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.95 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 56c | 155.46$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 57c | 145.64$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.48 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 65c | 139$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 70c | 129.4$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.23 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Over | 68c | 116.44$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 56c | 112.44$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.91 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 29c | 91.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 38c | 87.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 64c | 84.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 64c | 84.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb0…7f8abacked Under | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Under | 43c | 69.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 56c | 69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 63c | 62.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 72c | 61.47$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Over | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 76 | 82.9%63 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Over | 72c | 51.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 59c | 51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 74c | 48.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 55c | 48.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Under | 27c | 48.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 42c | 46.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…a899backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 56c | 36.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3756…b936backed Under | 43c | 35.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3509…9e45backed Under | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Under | 29c | 34.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf22…8c56backed Over | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31f…a37cbacked Over | 63c | 31.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Over | 64c | 31.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…b67dbacked Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Over | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 69c | 21.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Over | 61c | 20.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c46…7aa1backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed9…3feabacked Over | 73c | 18.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 70c | 18.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Over | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: O/U 2.5this page
- ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: FC Groningen 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: FC Groningen O/U 1.5Over won
- ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: O/U 0.5Over won
- ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: O/U 1.5Over won
- ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: O/U 3.5Over won
- ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: O/U 4.5Over won
- ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: ADO Den Haag (-1.5)FC Groningen won
- Spread: FC Groningen (-1.5)FC Groningen won
- Spread: FC Groningen (-2.5)FC Groningen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.