Other European Leagues · resolved market
ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d9370dfd8778e90a30bb417dc09ccd053495932f1a1711b6853bb5b24840417
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x573a…dcbfbacked Under | 0c | 31,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 20c | 10,295$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.34 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 1c | 3,333$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 40c | 2,094$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.01 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 80c | 1,884$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.56 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 55c | 1,032$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.65 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 71c | 710.03$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.51 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 17c | 600$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 18c | 241.81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.74 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xded4…1e6dbacked Under | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 221.93$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.93 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c9…748cbacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Over | 50c | 209$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 77 | 79.2%61 W · 16 L | +18.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Under | 44c | 195.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.06 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 50c | 195.3$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 75c | 139.06$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 75c | 127.61$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 73c | 125$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 76c | 123.58$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 40c | 118.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…df19backed Under | 40c | 112.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5f…1f5cbacked Under | 40c | 112.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 38c | 106.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 22c | 103.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 45c | 79.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 41c | 72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 41c | 65.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 43c | 64.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 42c | 52.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Over | 65c | 48.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over | 58c | 40.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Under | 64c | 38.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 60c | 18.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Under | 65c | 17.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: O/U 4.5this page
- ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: FC Groningen 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: FC Groningen O/U 1.5Over won
- ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: O/U 0.5Over won
- ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: O/U 1.5Over won
- ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: O/U 2.5Over won
- ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: O/U 3.5Over won
- ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: ADO Den Haag (-1.5)FC Groningen won
- Spread: FC Groningen (-1.5)FC Groningen won
- Spread: FC Groningen (-2.5)FC Groningen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.