TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,406
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,030

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,406 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over16c3,974$635 inLost-$635.377,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under77c1,047$809 inWon+$238.052,01235.5%714 W · 1,298 L-27.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over18c724.98$130 inLost-$129.572,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over46c700$322 inLost-$3227342.5%31 W · 42 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Under68c550$376 inWon+$174.52634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-39.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over30c538.65$162 inLost-$161.989637.5%36 W · 60 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Under73c410.96$300 inWon+$110.962491.7%22 W · 2 L+5.1wins+0.21per pick71cpaid+32.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over29c330.23$96 inLost-$95.642,30942.8%988 W · 1,321 L-41.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under71c281.69$200 inWon+$81.693354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1c9…748cbacked Under72c275.98$200 inWon+$75.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64de…25a1backed Under62c161.29$100 inWon+$61.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xded4…1e6dbacked Under65c153.85$100 inWon+$53.851428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-45.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over42c153.07$64 inLost-$63.781,24039.2%486 W · 754 L-35.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over25c145.06$36 inLost-$36.15,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Under71c111.76$79 inWon+$32.4113362.4%83 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under62c110.84$69 inWon+$41.926445.3%29 W · 35 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Under67c104.48$70 inWon+$34.483053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Under55c67.27$37 inWon+$30.2721036.7%77 W · 133 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over24c50$12 inLost-$11.7523747.7%113 W · 124 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under62c32.26$20 inWon+$12.265352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under69c30$21 inWon+$9.32853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick58cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f20…3a2abacked Under77c26.66$21 inWon+$6.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd97…ae50backed Under72c16.48$12 inWon+$4.624178%32 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.