Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kristiansund BK vs. IK Start: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7690e47a0ff31b13a508fbfd699172f5992d01b826bfdbda998a195f3c51dac4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 24c | 5,284$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.85 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 3,185$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.04 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 46c | 2,833$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.33 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 63c | 2,632$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.73 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 46c | 2,014$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.45 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 16c | 1,894$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.16 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 31c | 1,612$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.72 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e4…b4aabacked Under | 68c | 1,598$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 46c | 1,524$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.57 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 30c | 899.98$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 31c | 715.93$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.94 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 44c | 677.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.27 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 59c | 581.42$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.87 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 47c | 509.41$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.42 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 47c | 414.87$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Over | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Over | 10c | 305.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 61c | 263.82$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.82 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 46c | 258.76$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.04 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +139.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 60c | 148.24$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…2791backed Under | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 15c | 141.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.76 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 70c | 116$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Over | 29c | 116$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 53c | 109.83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15e…6c15backed Over | 48c | 108.27$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 32c | 106.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 38c | 85.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 71c | 75.85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…b567backed Under | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…86debacked Under | 54c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 54c | 64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 44c | 63.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 32c | 53.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 32c | 42.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 53c | 41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 32c | 38.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 71c | 37.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 39c | 36.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 34c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…9be0backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Under | 71c | 23.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 61c | 19.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kristiansund BK vs. IK Start: O/U 3.5this page
- Kristiansund BK vs. IK Start: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Kristiansund BK vs. IK Start: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Kristiansund BK vs. IK Start: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Kristiansund BK vs. IK Start: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Kristiansund BK vs. IK Start: Kristiansund BK O/U 2.5Under won
- Kristiansund BK vs. IK Start: O/U 0.5Over won
- Kristiansund BK vs. IK Start: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kristiansund BK vs. IK Start: O/U 2.5Over won
- Kristiansund BK vs. IK Start: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kristiansund BK vs. IK Start: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Kristiansund BK (-1.5)IK Start won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.