TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will ADO Den Haag win on 2026-08-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$176,381
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$174,963

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,381 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0c78…77f1backed No64c96,859$61,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,869.131154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86da…6428backed Yes36c86,105$30,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,863.85650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes35c33,834$11,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,766.532,01235.5%714 W · 1,298 L-27.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b62…5cc8backed No67c15,000$10,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,964.93771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No66c5,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,70036243.1%156 W · 206 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes34c4,516$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.082,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No64c2,478$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.9277350.2%388 W · 385 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes12c2,389$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.175,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No64c2,302$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.6785250.4%429 W · 423 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes8c2,182$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.662,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66013265.2%86 W · 46 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes31c1,734$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.827,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No64c1,294$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.622,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34017460.3%105 W · 69 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf7a…c69fbacked No64c959$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.24650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No64c947.12$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.962,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes33c909.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018344.3%81 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9532…0af8backed No65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes33c707.07$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.3318343.7%80 W · 103 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No64c706.39$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.37231.9%23 W · 49 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Yes38c700$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2667342.5%31 W · 42 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No65c676.97$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.9411952.9%63 W · 56 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes37c658.52$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.5511537.4%43 W · 72 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes6c634.18$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.564842%272 W · 376 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes10c611.44$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1691148%437 W · 474 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Yes36c611.11$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes36c592.28$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.227470.3%52 W · 22 L+14.0wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+40.1%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes33c568$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.4432436.4%118 W · 206 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed Yes36c514.86$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.352254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked No64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1805560%33 W · 22 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Yes35c479.4$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.7910541%43 W · 62 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No64c332.12$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.5639852.5%209 W · 189 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No66c322.17$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.0318743.9%82 W · 105 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes36c322$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9246044.3%204 W · 256 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes8c300.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2447926.9%129 W · 350 L-32.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-41.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x04c7…c7a7backed Yes36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes34c293.25$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.341,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No64c292$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.121,10747.7%528 W · 579 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda60…f676backed Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005125.5%13 W · 38 L-7.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-41.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x26b9…6a0cbacked Yes35c270$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No64c227.5$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.987745.2%396 W · 481 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4eea…8896backed Yes36c227.27$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e13…7f71backed Yes36c207.47$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7414050%70 W · 70 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked Yes36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No64c191.98$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6426051.5%134 W · 126 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes33c172.01$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3317650%88 W · 88 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No64c166$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.761,46748%704 W · 763 L+3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Yes36c165.08$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.431656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+55.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes36c149.04$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6529754.5%162 W · 135 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3a3…3f10backed Yes36c148.14$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd7c…c310backed Yes36c137.47$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+38.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x237f…362ebacked No66c136.36$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.36850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No65c135.83$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.548956.2%50 W · 39 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No64c128.76$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.359158.2%53 W · 38 L+11.8wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+32.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8fd3…99b2backed No66c114.03$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.77366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes36c106$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1624466%161 W · 83 L+15.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x68aa…0f92backed Yes36c105.56$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3721473.4%157 W · 57 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9910936.7%40 W · 69 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57ef…044abacked No64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaf8…71a2backed Yes36c97.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd5e…c6a1backed Yes36c97.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No64c96$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.152,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Yes25c81.73$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.565728.1%16 W · 41 L-7.4wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-52.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3473…e864backed Yes36c80.72$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27a1…0b60backed Yes36c80.67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf184…d472backed No66c72.8$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.75955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes34c71.37$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2754650.4%275 W · 271 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes37c68.61$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.79647.9%46 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No64c67$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.121,14353.2%608 W · 535 L+44.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes35c62.78$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Yes36c61.54$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.152650%13 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No64c60.53$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9634139.9%136 W · 205 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca28…ceb2backed Yes36c59.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205536.4%20 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x641f…049abacked Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Yes34c52.95$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9212664.3%81 W · 45 L+16.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+26.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206442.2%27 W · 37 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed No64c51.09$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.185761.4%35 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes24c49.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6923743.9%104 W · 133 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes36c48.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.469968.7%68 W · 31 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b04…403fbacked Yes36c47.36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.052373.9%17 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.20per pick54cpaid+28.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed No64c45$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.28746%40 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes36c43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.698653.2%525 W · 461 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed No65c42.89$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.017671.1%54 W · 22 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+13.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ef9…85e2backed Yes36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed No65c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145853.4%31 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb445…e4a3backed Yes38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94aa…a526backed No66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No64c34.15$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.261,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes37c32.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9394043.7%411 W · 529 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No64c30.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.075056%28 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a06…248abacked No65c29.23$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.231560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Yes35c28.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.093458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes36c28.72$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3412449.2%61 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes37c27.29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1973440.1%294 W · 440 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed No64c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913650%68 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.