Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will ADO Den Haag win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2304ea6c29e0bcb374100db1e1954d52684fec58a2854254d47c80b84526e709
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c78…77f1backed No | 64c | 96,859$61,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,869.13 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…6428backed Yes | 36c | 86,105$30,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,863.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 35c | 33,834$11,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,766.53 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 67c | 15,000$10,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,964.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 34c | 4,516$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.08 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 64c | 2,478$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.92 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 12c | 2,389$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.17 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 64c | 2,302$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.67 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 8c | 2,182$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.66 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 1,734$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.82 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 1,294$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.62 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7a…c69fbacked No | 64c | 959$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 947.12$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.96 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9532…0af8backed No | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 33c | 707.07$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.33 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 64c | 706.39$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.3 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Yes | 38c | 700$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 65c | 676.97$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.94 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 37c | 658.52$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.55 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 6c | 634.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 10c | 611.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Yes | 36c | 611.11$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 36c | 592.28$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.22 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +14.0wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 33c | 568$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.44 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Yes | 36c | 514.86$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.35 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked No | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 35c | 479.4$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.79 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 64c | 332.12$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.56 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 66c | 322.17$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.03 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 36c | 322$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.92 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 8c | 300.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 34c | 293.25$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.34 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 64c | 292$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.12 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…f676backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26b9…6a0cbacked Yes | 35c | 270$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 64c | 227.5$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eea…8896backed Yes | 36c | 227.27$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e13…7f71backed Yes | 36c | 207.47$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 140 | 50%70 W · 70 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 64c | 191.98$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.64 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 33c | 172.01$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 64c | 166$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.76 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 36c | 165.08$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 36c | 149.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a3…3f10backed Yes | 36c | 148.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7c…c310backed Yes | 36c | 137.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked No | 66c | 136.36$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 65c | 135.83$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 64c | 128.76$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd3…99b2backed No | 66c | 114.03$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 36c | 106$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68aa…0f92backed Yes | 36c | 105.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf8…71a2backed Yes | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…c6a1backed Yes | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 64c | 96$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 25c | 81.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3473…e864backed Yes | 36c | 80.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a1…0b60backed Yes | 36c | 80.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed No | 66c | 72.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 34c | 71.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 37c | 68.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 64c | 67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 35c | 62.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Yes | 36c | 61.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 64c | 60.53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…ceb2backed Yes | 36c | 59.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 34c | 52.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 64c | 51.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 24c | 49.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 36c | 48.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Yes | 36c | 47.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 64c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 36c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 65c | 42.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…85e2backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb445…e4a3backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94aa…a526backed No | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 64c | 34.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 37c | 32.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 64c | 30.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…248abacked No | 65c | 29.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Yes | 35c | 28.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 36c | 28.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 37c | 27.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ADO Den Haag win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Groningen win on 2026-08-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.