Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-07-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x017d6846f418aceca02950f0bd0d51f7e5f6ff677503c54a0eb212da16dce315
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 22c | 7,032$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,484.95 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 52c | 6,477$3,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,362.01 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked No | 79c | 5,525$4,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.73 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 44c | 3,633$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.13 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 2,689$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.07 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 51c | 1,804$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.28 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 23c | 1,451$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.27 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 20c | 1,376$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.03 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 20c | 1,054$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.74 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 78c | 1,009$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.62 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 23c | 895.77$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.43 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 34c | 866.07$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.8 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked No | 23c | 725.53$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.66 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed No | 23c | 725.53$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.66 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes | 62c | 690.32$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 79c | 531.06$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.25 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 402.05$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.28 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 68c | 400$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.8 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 77c | 324$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 23c | 311.82$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.72 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 24c | 266.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.56 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed No | 64c | 230.83$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.21 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes | 18c | 197.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 38c | 163.58$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.84 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 42c | 156.31$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.37 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 75c | 138.4$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.8 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed No | 25c | 138.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.8 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 30c | 135.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 24c | 125.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.36 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 78c | 121$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.38 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 16c | 106$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Yes | 44c | 98.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5e…980bbacked No | 78c | 96.44$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 78c | 91$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 19c | 86.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 39c | 79.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 76c | 76.49$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 75c | 76$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 22c | 65.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked No | 34c | 58.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 76c | 56.65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 23c | 47.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…9481backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -81%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4f…b507backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc099…923ebacked Yes | 77c | 25.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 61c | 25.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe6…4a1bbacked Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +10.1wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +330.1%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Yes | 77c | 17.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-07-30?this page
- Will Paksi FC win on 2026-07-30?No won
- Will Panathinaikós AO vs. Paksi FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.