Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Paksi FC win on 2026-07-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00e72764a5ad7d201f88b07a73b1e60ab6af2d398535d5e760b2c2f906665556
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 54c | 4,100$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.71 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 3,548$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.34 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 1,229$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.66 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 59c | 1,192$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.32 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 48c | 1,168$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.84 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…28c5backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 66c | 499.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…7b80backed Yes | 9c | 496$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 5c | 399.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 49c | 299.22$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.58 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 64c | 236.87$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.74 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 48c | 224.9$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.95 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 46c | 197.17$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.74 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 75c | 143.51$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdf…5cd1backed Yes | 10c | 135$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 9c | 116.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 264 | 17.8%47 W · 217 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 49c | 101.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…fc1fbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.27 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 48c | 96.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 41c | 89.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 72c | 89$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 15c | 85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8591…6e07backed Yes | 29c | 76.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa94b…ef59backed Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 41c | 61.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 36c | 57.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc90a…1834backed Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked No | 51c | 38.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paksi FC win on 2026-07-30?this page
- Will Panathinaikós AO vs. Paksi FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-07-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.