Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC København vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fc831f9e2f841d5dbc56415ae98a5a3530704d296742485f19554a0e022c0a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 3,490$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.94 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 57c | 3,036$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.54 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 30c | 1,913$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.5 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 74c | 1,809$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.84 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +19.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 25c | 1,699$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.48 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Under | 78c | 1,546$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 26c | 791$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.66 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 31c | 751.79$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 72c | 734.95$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.53 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 27c | 529.81$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.6 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 22c | 497.35$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.42 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…4ce0backed Over | 78c | 382.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 51c | 218.07$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.64 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 70c | 217.03$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.86 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 39c | 194.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 23c | 136.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Under | 39c | 121.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 61c | 116.39$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5e…980bbacked Under | 80c | 113.7$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.96 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 78c | 104.59$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 29c | 101.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0882…dceabacked Under | 26c | 95.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 66c | 91.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -7.5wins | -0.29per pick | 60cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 28c | 80$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 72c | 77.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.14 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 38c | 76.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 71c | 69.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 31c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 35c | 58.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over | 60c | 56.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7f…f63ebacked Over | 61c | 55.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 61c | 50.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +8.2wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…b109backed Over | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over | 63c | 45.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 32c | 38.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 60c | 31.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Under | 78c | 28.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 76c | 20.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 68c | 18.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC København vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 4.5this page
- FC København vs. Lyngby BK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC København vs. Lyngby BK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC København vs. Lyngby BK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC København vs. Lyngby BK: FC København 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC København vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC København vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC København vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC København vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC København vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC København (-1.5)Lyngby BK won
- Spread: Lyngby BK (-1.5)FC København won
- Spread: Lyngby BK (-2.5)FC København won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.