Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: FC København (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63ea9a386ac3292ccb8ec3f7f1c40f3bc2946d17d1684e9d23c1450e1964a56a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lyngby BKof FC København, Lyngby BK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FC København | 25c | 5,804$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.16 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…b630backed FC København | 18c | 5,317$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC København | 17c | 2,195$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.28 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc1…bdd8backed Lyngby BK | 56c | 1,707$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.29 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed FC København | 46c | 1,189$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.98 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Lyngby BK | 73c | 1,083$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.04 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Lyngby BK | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC København | 12c | 871.67$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.75 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Lyngby BK | 55c | 851.55$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.2 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed FC København | 46c | 746.5$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.39 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed FC København | 24c | 366.45$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.95 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e56…a7f6backed FC København | 18c | 218.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed FC København | 45c | 216$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe988…8343backed Lyngby BK | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed FC København | 45c | 154.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.12 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed FC København | 46c | 152.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed FC København | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked FC København | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed FC København | 46c | 99.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed FC København | 15c | 93.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked FC København | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Lyngby BK | 54c | 84.85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfecc…7551backed FC København | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed FC København | 47c | 62.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Lyngby BK | 55c | 60.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lyngby BK | 54c | 59.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Lyngby BK | 63c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Lyngby BK | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Lyngby BK | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Lyngby BK | 79c | 42.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Lyngby BK | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Lyngby BK | 75c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Lyngby BK | 78c | 26.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked FC København | 46c | 26.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Lyngby BK | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Lyngby BK | 75c | 15.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Lyngby BK | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 47 | 89.4%42 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 80cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC København (-1.5)this page
- FC København vs. Lyngby BK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC København vs. Lyngby BK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC København vs. Lyngby BK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC København vs. Lyngby BK: FC København 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC København vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC København vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC København vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC København vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC København vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 4.5Over won
- FC København vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Lyngby BK (-1.5)FC København won
- Spread: Lyngby BK (-2.5)FC København won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.