Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC København vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70300c654b61dc3eee7107b3d06c5fdbd43aa239ba8e34200664f13499d57927
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $295,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $294,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $295,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 59c | 266,141$158,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158,047.84 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 40c | 233,879$94,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139,160.28 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Over | 41c | 12,092$4,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,133.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +153.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 7,528$3,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,396.75 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 42c | 5,555$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,209.9 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…b630backed Under | 25c | 3,843$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 47c | 3,337$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.51 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 2,676$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.31 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 75c | 2,457$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.13 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 17c | 1,729$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.97 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 63c | 1,200$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 75c | 1,067$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.73 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ad…6690backed Over | 29c | 759.03$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaee…2fffbacked Over | 48c | 458.33$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.33 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 38c | 375.68$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.92 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac6d…94f1backed Under | 67c | 257.79$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 47c | 213.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.23 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 47c | 212.16$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…2857backed Under | 12c | 170$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e56…a7f6backed Under | 25c | 159.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Over | 43c | 133.1$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.47 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 72c | 122.4$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1892…0920backed Over | 66c | 105.88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 41c | 94.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.43 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Over | 77c | 86.96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 58c | 79.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…4c4abacked Under | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 52c | 65.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 53c | 61.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 45c | 54.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…e292backed Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 40c | 43.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 59c | 42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b11…9f63backed Under | 61c | 40.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Over | 42c | 33.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Over | 41c | 32.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 43c | 29.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…9c5cbacked Over | 47c | 26.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4db…e401backed Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9b…f703backed Under | 58c | 25.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC København vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 3.5this page
- FC København vs. Lyngby BK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC København vs. Lyngby BK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC København vs. Lyngby BK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC København vs. Lyngby BK: FC København 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC København vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC København vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC København vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC København vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 4.5Over won
- FC København vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC København (-1.5)Lyngby BK won
- Spread: Lyngby BK (-1.5)FC København won
- Spread: Lyngby BK (-2.5)FC København won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.