South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-07-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa57801998f1a990fd1978abe5a34684827e5d12ae58d9a30fb8a793bca31667a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 60c | 7,500$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.99 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 49c | 5,381$2,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,768.38 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yes | 40c | 5,269$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,161.1 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,949.86 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 19c | 3,648$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.12 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked No | 60c | 3,091$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.94 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 60c | 2,787$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.21 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 40c | 2,573$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.86 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 44c | 2,461$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.78 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…b630backed No | 26c | 1,792$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 41c | 1,765$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.2 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 59c | 1,469$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.71 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 1,343$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.01 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 31c | 1,335$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.27 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…90cbbacked No | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 42c | 905$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.1 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 58c | 868.65$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.82 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 59c | 846.66$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.53 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 59c | 834.52$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.3 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 4c | 416.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 40c | 383.08$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.84 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed No | 60c | 352.61$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.01 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 59c | 338.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 59c | 308.17$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.09 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1636…977bbacked Yes | 41c | 292.68$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed No | 60c | 267.86$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 41c | 249.92$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.55 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…7f05backed Yes | 41c | 246.34$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.34 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e56…a7f6backed No | 28c | 217.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 57c | 203.85$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.99 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 59c | 197.35$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.59 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 61c | 184.85$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.87 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed No | 60c | 184.23$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked No | 60c | 162.6$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked No | 59c | 151.43$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 60c | 145.78$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.74 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed No | 60c | 125.41$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…40ecbacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 43c | 114.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Yes | 39c | 97.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked No | 59c | 92.61$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96bd…ff97backed Yes | 75c | 88.84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90fa…f353backed Yes | 42c | 86.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Yes | 40c | 82.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Yes | 41c | 73.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dce…496bbacked Yes | 42c | 71.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked No | 59c | 69.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 67c | 63.13$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 85 | 69.4%59 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…d481backed Yes | 37c | 58.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 56c | 54.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 133 | 73.7%98 W · 35 L | +22.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…c33dbacked Yes | 41c | 53.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…299abacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 62c | 48.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked No | 61c | 43.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe775…01d2backed No | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 60c | 39.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 40c | 38.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x544f…3ca1backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +6.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ced…54aebacked No | 59c | 29.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Yes | 39c | 27.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +26%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 59c | 26.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Yes | 41c | 26.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…f7e6backed No | 60c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…1cc8backed Yes | 42c | 25.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1040…ac10backed Yes | 78c | 25.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 59c | 25.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked Yes | 41c | 24.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…9175backed Yes | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 65c | 16.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed Yes | 78c | 15.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-07-29?this page
- Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-07-29?No won
- Will CA Barracas Central vs. CA Aldosivi end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.