Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Tromsø IL vs. FC Hradec Králové end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17b86b4614277e1cfb93b4237e75d56f2fd2be2b2aa1a245cb47edb71b7c71e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 79c | 5,014$3,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.49 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 21c | 4,542$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.83 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 20c | 4,193$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.5 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 3,652$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.57 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 3,406$2,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.12 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 3,147$2,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.5 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 79c | 2,199$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.76 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Yes | 22c | 2,168$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.92 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Yes | 22c | 2,168$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.92 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed No | 55c | 1,961$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.19 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 79c | 1,265$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.64 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 58c | 1,143$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.26 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 54c | 1,081$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.05 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 78c | 904.65$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.02 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…18f1backed Yes | 25c | 795.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 45c | 733.1$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.07 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 78c | 635.99$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.92 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bd…ff97backed Yes | 29c | 596.79$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.07 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 30c | 525.07$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.52 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 54c | 445.18$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.42 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 30c | 316.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 73c | 289.02$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.93 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 75c | 285.17$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.02 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 22c | 285$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 43c | 276$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.51 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 78c | 256$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 22c | 251.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c11…48ffbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 57c | 181.02$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.84 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…208cbacked Yes | 22c | 172.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 47c | 134.1$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.59 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed No | 59c | 133$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.33 | 60 | 73.3%44 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 17c | 122.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 49c | 121.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 21c | 119.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 79c | 118.65$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 79c | 117.6$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Yes | 21c | 109$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 70c | 108.42$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced1…280ebacked Yes | 30c | 105$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 22c | 102$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 21c | 97.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed No | 78c | 97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 53c | 92.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…2e8ebacked Yes | 34c | 88.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 52c | 83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Yes | 37c | 76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked Yes | 21c | 75.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…b046backed No | 80c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…9488backed Yes | 21c | 59.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed No | 78c | 51.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 30 | 90%27 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 79cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2df7…7f76backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…3a1ebacked Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 23c | 45.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked No | 79c | 39.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 36c | 38.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +15.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed No | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +46%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1040…ac10backed Yes | 55c | 26.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked No | 80c | 25.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a7…3172backed No | 79c | 15.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tromsø IL vs. FC Hradec Králové end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Hradec Králové win on 2026-07-23?Yes won
- Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-07-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.