Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Hradec Králové win on 2026-07-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfffb6a39c3223f161636fa2c3a93263aed35475478de1bc25b41fe7018dc879e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Yes | 13c | 7,161$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,252.09 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 11c | 6,538$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,819.73 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 11c | 5,694$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,067.79 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…cce5backed Yes | 8c | 4,713$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,312.89 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 59c | 3,772$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.56 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 74c | 3,156$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346.95 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 3,147$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.39 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 11c | 2,272$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.08 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 11c | 1,672$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.01 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6616…878bbacked No | 72c | 1,374$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.75 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.4wins | -0.40per pick | 58cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 10c | 1,213$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.04 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,136$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.97 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6f…f530backed Yes | 11c | 610$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…28c5backed Yes | 11c | 527.27$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.27 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 26c | 401.4$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.05 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 12c | 396.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.6 | 264 | 17.8%47 W · 217 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 46c | 368$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.6 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 10c | 361.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.14 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 6c | 354.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 44c | 347$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.43 | 60 | 73.3%44 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked No | 6c | 320$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdde…0b07backed No | 5c | 287$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 34c | 286.8$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.71 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.71 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 11c | 249.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.49 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 21c | 220.53$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.15 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 32c | 207$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.18 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 53c | 173$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.44 | 116 | 74.1%86 W · 30 L | +18.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 26c | 159.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 80c | 156.85$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.48 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 77c | 146.08$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.58 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…4b33backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 33c | 141.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Yes | 16c | 126.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.31 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Yes | 11c | 123.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.71 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 15c | 103.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.69 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9972…5df3backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.87per pick | 14cpaid | +667%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 25c | 99.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.98 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed No | 41c | 97.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1f…0d9dbacked No | 61c | 95.88$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.69 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced1…280ebacked Yes | 11c | 95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.55 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 17c | 81.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 16c | 80$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…0098backed Yes | 19c | 54.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 49c | 36.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 77c | 24.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Yes | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +46%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed No | 68c | 20.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Yes | 79c | 20.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Hradec Králové win on 2026-07-23?this page
- Will Tromsø IL vs. FC Hradec Králové end in a draw?No won
- Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-07-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.